Posted on 15 August 2011.
The research presents an alternative to the classical method of measuring financial risk in funding a project. The goal of the model described in the paper implies identifying “risky areas” within the financial balance of the project. The model analysis the financial risk behavior studied along four scenarios by varying only the cost of financing source used according to the specific type of funding. The model introduces the time factor into the analysis of financial risk due to the specific type of financing source used because of the influence on financial balance of project’ budget due to the distribution in time of the receipts and costs incurred in the life cycle of a project. Model presented help identifying the “risk areas” within the financials flows of a project offering a warning signal to the decision-maker to select the most suited risk management strategy.
Decision Model on Financing a Project Using Knowledge about Risk Areas (757.5 KiB, 410 hits)
Posted in Economics, Issue no. 5, Knowledge Management
Posted on 15 June 2011.
Risk aversion is among the most advertised and complex factors influencing a decision, but it is itself subject to a intricate complex of both objective and subjective factors. The present paper set out to investigate some of the factors that would have appeared obvious in influencing attitudes towards risk, such as value of options, probability of options, level of information (specifically on probability) and position of the respondent relative to the outcome of the risk (loss or gain). For this purpose we devised a survey testing each of these elements and allowing for interpretation of their interdependence. After analyzing hypothetical situations, we also investigated how these were reflected in self-assessment and real-life behavior. What we found is that, although these factors do play their intuitive role in fundamenting decisions in contexts of risk, they are ill correlated to one another and may themselves not be coherent across different contexts.
On The Correlated Impact Of The Factors Of Risk Aversion On Decision-Making (850.9 KiB, 530 hits)
Posted in Economics, Issue no. 4